This is an old meme. The schoolyard bully rules through fear – once
a single person stands up to them and avoids punishment, the bully’s power is
gone. So with states: Montesquieu has
written that for a despotism there can be no cracks in the façade of invincible
central authority: let there be one unbowed challenger to the order and it all comes
crashing down.
An excellent example is the old Soviet Union. A rigid dictatorship, where any criticism of
the status quo was met with overwhelming force.
It looked like the Soviet Union would last forever – and then Michael
Gorbachev allowed some dissent, and it all turned into dust.
In the United States we now face a similar issue. They say that the United States is a nation
of immigrants, but this is a meaningless statement. Every nation on the face of this planet is
peopled by immigrants and the descendants of immigrants, and many more recently
than the United States. Until 1970 the
United States enforced the laws against illegal immigration, and thus, illegal
immigration was until then utterly negligible.
Legal immigration was similarly low: yes there was a small (yes, SMALL)
surge in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, which
nevertheless drove wages down and profits up, but it was eventually closed down
by progressives. In the 1940’s, 1950’s
and 1960’s there was hardly any immigration into the United States, and wages
shot up and profits fell. How terrible.
The United States is not special because it is a ‘nation of
immigrants’. It is (or used to be)
special because, relative to its resources and developed capital, it has so few
immigrants and descendants of immigrants.
But the rich want their cheap labor. They want the United States to be like India,
a miserably impoviershed land where most people slave away for sub-poverty wages
and the rich live in private skyscrapers.
So the rich have opened the floodgates to the overpopulated third
world. Post-1970 immigration has already
increased the population of the United States by about 100 million, and the pace
is accelerating. Wages are going down,
rents are going up, and the lack of water in California is a harbinger that the
days of Americans having abundant resources are coming to a close.
However, the rich don’t want any discussion of this. Therefore they have used their power to intimidate
anyone from speaking out. Say that you
are against Mexican nationals coming across the border: you must hate legal
immigrants! You must be a racist! You must hate people of Latin American
ancestry! You must be a xenophobe, extreme far-right, a Nazi! You can’t say that!
Certainly the rich have no problem enforcing the laws
against trespassing on their vast estates and country clubs. The rich have no problem carefully screening
the children in their local public schools to make sure that no poor American ‘in search of a
better life’ enrolls their kids there.
They only object to the average American having the same rights.
The rich demand that Americans sacrifice all that they have
achieved to make room for an endlessly swelling tide of third-world
refugees. Yet, the rich themselves offer
to make no sacrifice at all, and indeed, look to make a lot of money.
There is little so disgusting as a rich person pushing
policies that will make them even richer, at the expense of making everyone
else poorer, and then claiming the moral high ground.
So how do the rich get away with it? Obviously by buying the legislature and the
media and the universities, but also through bullying. Anyone speaking truth about this will be hammered down and made an example of.
Thus it is that post-1970 immigration has doubled
California’s population from 20 to 40 million, but nothing can be said by
anyone about how this affects traffic congestion or the availability of fresh
water. Hundreds of thousands of
medically unscreened children from countries with endemic diseases are brought
in and distributed to (non-wealthy!) public school, and suddenly diseases that
are rare or unknown in the United States break out – and we can’t talk about
that. (It must be an act of God). American engineers are being forced to train
their replacements from India – oh poor job prospects must be because automation is reducing the
need for labor. All rubbish.
No, there can be no deviation from this script. Nobody dares to speak out, in fear of
retaliation.
And now comes Donald Trump.
He dares. And this makes him a
deadly threat to the rich and powerful and their desire to turn the United
States into yet another overpopulated third-world sweatshop.
The elites want Trump crushed. Not deflected, not settling for third in the Republican primary, but crushed. If he is allowed to continue on his course unbroken, he might change the
entire terms of the debate. Sure he’s a
billionaire, but he’s only one billionaire.
Massive forces will be brought to bear on him. He will be variously slandered, ignored,
ridiculed, harassed, sued, you name it.
Because this is a big deal. It’s
the biggest deal of the campaign. It’s the biggest deal in politics in a
generation – perhaps, the biggest political deal in this nation’s history ever. Because it's about whether there will even be a recognizable nation left in a century or so.
What’s done is done: even if the border were sealed today,
demographic momentum would increase the population of the United States to at least 400
million. The old days of American
exceptionalism and abundant resources will be gone forever, but that’s still
not so many people that you can’t adapt and have a decent standard of living. But the alternative is to shoot up to a billion
and beyond, and become like India: where half the children are growing up
chronically malnourished. It can happen
here, and if nothing is done to change policy, it will. If you are under 20, you will live to see
it. Whatever your age, your grandchildren
will live to see it.
We need to get past the idea that politics is about ideas
and position papers and personalities and how well someone comports themselves
on a stage. I wouldn’t watch any debates
at all: they mean nothing. Barack Obama
was a wonderful speechmaker: all of it was a lie. Hillary Clinton has some wonderful position
papers on how she’s going to boost the middle class: all rot. Don’t bother.
Care only about the record.
The record is clear that Clinton and Jeb and Rubio and Walker are going
to stab you in the back. Period. Trump is a little more dicey: he doesn’t have
a record of stabbing you in the back, but he also doesn't have a record of following through.
Still. Normally I
would shy away from the importance of symbolism in politics (Santorum is actually better than Trump on immigration overall - notice how he's been ignored in the media?), but here I make an
exception. What is important is if
Donald Trump can brave the firestorm of attacks and make it possible to talk
sensibly about population policy again. The
odds are still against him, but if anyone has the ego and resources to pull
this off, he does. I urge that you
support him, and more importantly, to do so publicly and without shame. Forgive him his eccentric personal style: you
are not voting for best actor, but for your interests. Don’t worry if he makes the occasional gaffe.
If the person standing up for your interests is on the crude side, and the
person who’s going to stab you in the back is smooth and suave, well, who’s
your daddy?
A modern liberal will cheerfully march into hell if only
they are led by someone that the New York Times declares to be respectable. Don’t make that mistake.
Trump for President.
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